It will soon be half a year since I was on an airplane. I freely admit it is starting to get to me. I really miss everything about travel — even things like the butterflies of waiting to see if your upgrade clears at the gate.
But I am starting to wonder and think about just what it is going to take to really bring things back to the way they were before. There are scary stories talking about the speculation that we will never return to what once was.
I think they are wrong.
But it will take a number of things to have a shot at normalcy again — and it will be more than just a safe vaccine.
I agree with Dr. Fauci that 1) it is going to take some time to find a safe and effective vaccine but also 2) that it will likely not be anywhere near 100% effective. Beyond that, I am sure any number of folks will foolishly refuse to be inoculated slowing down the progress toward normalcy.
So what will we need? IMO even more important than a vaccine is a very effective treatment that will build confidence that if we do get COVID it will not be a death sentence. Like what?
- MMPD will soon release testing results from working with Mayo Clinic that may also be the simple pill we need.
I am sure there are others just around the corner that will show equally stellar results in moving COVID to an infection that results in a “two-week vacation” at home for you but not much more, that is, the mortality rate for the infection drops to very low levels or almost zero (i.e. the drugs prevent long term damage to our bodies as some are experiencing now).
This is what it will take to give us a shot at a return to what was. After all, airlines cannot fly with so many empty seats. Hotels cannot have 50% occupancy. Cruise ships simply cannot provide the cruise experience if we are worried about getting sick.
How long will it take? I think by spring next year we will have things falling into place. I think by the end of summer 2021 we will see results showing this will end. I think by Q1 2022 the “all clear” to return to what was once normal will be here.
What will remain at that point? That is scary to think about. I hope we can hang on! – René
(Disclaimer: Both Chris and I are long RLFTF and BSGM)
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